Posts
25
Joined
5/1/2020
Location
Cleveland, NC
US
Edited Date/Time
5/12/2020 6:13am
How did the meetings go Wednesday with Feld? Did they release a date for Supercross to come back?
The Shop
My concern is, if we are doing more and more testing as the test become more readily available, won't the number of confirmed cases increase regardless? If we test more people, it only seems likely that more people will be confirmed to have it. A close friend of mine's dad was hospitalized and put on a respirator a few weeks ago and was confirmed positive for Covid-19. The entire household that became sick but didn't need emergency medical assistance were denied tests and were just told to self quarantine.
If testing is now more widely available, wouldn't the rise in confirmed cases simply reflect the uptick in testing?
Example with random numbers: 75% of tests were positive during strict testing. 25% of tests are postive with more widespread testing. I feel like it's an important detail to look at rather than just explicitly "number of confirmed cases". How can we expect the curve to flatten or decrease if we are only looking at number of cases when the testing is so much different?
MX Vice just posted a write-up by JT on it.
https://www.mxvice.com/131887/thomas-on-usa-plan
Ideally we test everyone in one day. All positives quarantine for two weeks. Everyone else is free to be normal. But we don’t 330 million tests. Or the labs to process, etc.
Pit Row
The USA can go down to 1 person unknowingly having the disease, you open up the sports and the country again without a vaccine (that no ones going to take even if one existed) and you are back to square one
...sarcasm
Back to the subject though. I really Hope common sense can be used again at some point and the supercross series can continue. But common sense isn’t so common so my hopes are not high.
Do people really think we should remain on lockdown until not a single person dies from Coronavirus? Get a fucking grip people - this is very common sense. There will never be a green light “all clear” to go back to normal life. At some point, everyone will need to weigh the risks and assume some small potentiality of contracting the virus
If you are testing 1000/day and get roughly 100 positives, that's 10%. If you up the testing to 10000/day, you would expect to see 1000 positives. When that percentage begins to drop, that's when you have the conversation about reopening things. The other thing I don't understand, Why no one is mandating that masks be worn in public at all times? Doesn't that seem to be the wise thing to do for a while?
mingham97 - This is a virus, so there isn't a cure, there never will be. Your immune system needs to develop antibodies to help fight this virus. The problem, viruses mutate, OFTEN! Why do you think there are dozens of strains of the flu, which by they way, kill 10's of thousands of people per year around the world. Why don't we freak out about that? Yup, COVID is way more contagious, I won't argue that.
US auto deaths average about 110 daily (~40k per year).
So yes, lockdown should continue until their is a tried and tested vaccine, or until your CV numbers are 0
Auto= ~10K deaths over 4 months
C19 = ~75K
Now, if auto accidents were as contagious as C19, we’d be in big trouble.
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